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GRPN predictions?

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  • Mar 5th, 2013 10:01 am
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Apr 3, 2009
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GRPN predictions?

I'm not holding any positions in GRPN, but I'm interested in seeing what happens tomorrow.
Thought I'd make a discussion thread to see if anyone else was watching or holding positions in too. :razz:
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Jan 28, 2012
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While the stock is definitely not worth $25+ like its IPO, and I'm not keen on them long term... It's only expected to earn like 2 cents/share so that shouldn't be too hard to do. If they can't even do that they are finished, esp if they lost money instead. Most of what I've read indicates their fundamentals are better than the market is giving them credit for though so I'm going to say they meet the couple cents expectation, maybe exceed slightly, and have a nice pop. At least to the top of the current trading range (5.5-6.25). Its been sticking within that pretty solidly and trending up. If it can break above that we could see $7-8.

I grabbed some cheap call options yesterday. Risky but might pay off handsomely as long as the company doesn't completely bomb the earnings.
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Feb 15, 2008
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Rhaegar wrote: Most of what I've read.
There's your problem. You read. Ignore 99% of the cr*p out there that's just written by people trying to unload Groupon stock or hype the sector. The company has never earned a dime. It has destroyed most of its capital. The so-called 'deals' keep getting worse and worse, to the point where many markets have basically zero in terms of local deals. I'm pretty confident its a "zero" in the long term.
TodayHello wrote: ...The Banks are smarter than you - they have floors full of people whose job it is to read Mark77 posts...
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It looks like an 8% rise since open... hrmm.
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danyo wrote: It looks like an 8% rise since open... hrmm.
And I'm probably going to cash out on it rather than risk earnings.


Mark77 I agree with you, I even said I'm not keen on them long term. Doesn't mean I can't enjoy a juicy technical/hype based 2 day profit though.
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Mar 19, 2010
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Markham
This stock is heading to zero. I would stay away from it.
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Rhaegar wrote: And I'm probably going to cash out on it rather than risk earnings.


Mark77 I agree with you, I even said I'm not keen on them long term. Doesn't mean I can't enjoy a juicy technical/hype based 2 day profit though.
Do you mind me asking what strike price you went in at and how much profit you made?
From what I see, it looks like you made a pretty good profit on your 1-day call option.
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Jan 28, 2012
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Missed by 0.15 so lost 0.12 per share. Down 25% after hours.

Glad I sold my calls at 6.05 this afternoon. Would have only stuck with it if I was hedged in a straddle with puts. Would have paid nicely with that drop.
chose to ride the hype up tend and get out before the train wreck instead. I'll take my 26% in two days tyvm
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danyo wrote: Do you mind me asking what strike price you went in at and how much profit you made?
From what I see, it looks like you made a pretty good profit on your 1-day call option.
Sure. $6 April calls on Monday for 0.52 sold today for 0.69. Did a similar move last week riding the same trading chanel
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Dec 11, 2005
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I predict they will be bankrupt or purchased before end of 2013.

Groupon is a total joke of a company. I wish I had had money at the time of the IPO, I would have made a fortune shorting it.

Read this series of investigative articles into groupon, done prior to their IPO. It paints quite the picture. Throw all this into the financial schenanigins this company is involved in post-IPO and I don't know why anyone in their right mind would be long on this stock.

http://techcrunch.com/2011/06/09/groupo ... -decision/
http://techcrunch.com/2011/06/11/google ... iness-die/
http://techcrunch.com/2011/06/13/why-gr ... -collapse/
To be nobody but yourself - in a world which is doing its best, night and day, to make you everybody else - means to fight the hardest battle which any human being can fight; and never stop fighting. -- E. E. Cummings
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brunes wrote: Read this series of investigative articles into groupon, done prior to their IPO. It paints quite the picture. Throw all this into the financial schenanigins this company is involved in post-IPO and I don't know why anyone in their right mind would be long on this stock.
The 'sad' thing is that Groupon actually has a business underneath it all that collects cash from customers that can cover a very significant amount of its expenses. Can't say the same about many other IPO's that have come to market in the technology sector, which have been highly speculative at best.
TodayHello wrote: ...The Banks are smarter than you - they have floors full of people whose job it is to read Mark77 posts...
Jr. Member
Dec 30, 2007
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Wish I read this thread earlier... It would of save me a two hundred bucks. Does anyone think Groupon will recover the 20 plus percent loss it suffered today?
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tomaccowu wrote: Wish I read this thread earlier... It would of save me a two hundred bucks. Does anyone think Groupon will recover the 20 plus percent loss it suffered today?
Probably not?

Lesson learned. Don't trade stocks like this without being keenly aware of impending earning dates and making an informed decision about whether or not to hold the position through earnings.
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Jul 22, 2008
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Still room to short, but there will be a bounce back... to cover some shorts and close some positions (i.e. lock in profits)
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Jun 17, 2012
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CHELTENHAM
Negative earnings .... don't see it ever recovering. Will hover then die IMO
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Dec 30, 2007
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Groupon is rebounding since the earnings. Making up for some of my losses now.

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