I still stand by the moves the Bills made. AJ MCCarron is just a stop gap with a tiny potential to be great (he was once thought to be on par with Garappolo not too long ago). Tyrod is the better QB, but isn't the Bills franchise QB that they want to build around. The fact that every trade they got more value and every signing was what the player was worth or cheaper, they did well. From a team standpoint, they aren't much better than last year (possibly worse), but they have a lot of draft capital, a lot more cap room, and basically got rid of all the overprice long term deals that that Ryan/Whaley gave out.Chookman wrote: ↑Mar 22nd, 2018 8:53 pmNot overly impressed. Money was good for McCarron but I don't see how a guy with 4 career starts is better than Tyrod who has much more experience and has led them to their first playoff appearance in close to 20 years.
Got jumped by the Jets and now will have to overpay for a QB. Highly doubtful the Giants trade with them because you know the Jets called and were declined. Looks like the Giants are going QB. Also the GM of the Giants has never traded down in his career as a GM. If they do, then the Bills will massively overpay. Expect the price to be something like #12, #22, #53, #56 and next year's 1st. Otherwise, they can wait and hope that a QB falls or massively overpay Cleveland for the #4 pick who will be shopping it to everyone not to mention the Broncos and Dolphins who have a higher pick than the Bills do. Even then, if they can make that trade, it looks like they get the 4th best QB in the draft.
But it all relied on them drafting a QB. And they got burned by the Jets. The Jets completely overpaid for the 3rd pick. Using the draft value chart, the Jets overpaid by as much as 38% more than what they got back. That was with a team that was looking to trade. Giants, Browns, Broncos aren't going to budge. And given that the Jets overpaid by that much, I agree 3 1st round and 2 2nd round picks are about the value needed if the Giants were to give up that 2nd spot. 3 1st rounds and 1 2nd round is a little more than what the Jets paid, Adding another 2nd pick sweetens the deal. I don't think they'll be able to reach the price of Cleveland for 1st (will cost too much) or 4th (too risky losing your preferred QB choice).
Personally, the Giants trade is too much, but the Bills need to do it. They did everything to get to this point of picking up their future QB, so why stop now? The alternative is to wait until draft day and hope that teams don't go very heavy on QBs which is unlikely. For example, let's say Giants or the Jets draft Barkley. Both teams desperately need a RB, This would make the Browns much more open to trading the 4th pick (at possibly cheaper cost too). Also there's probably a pretty good chance that the Broncos don't go with a QB. Fins are all in with Tannehill. From pick 7 to 11, none of those teams need a QB, so the whoever is left could end up in the Bills hands without the need to trade up... but the last time they took the 4th best QB, it didn't turn out so well... in 2004 Eli, Rivers and Big Ben. Then the Bills took Losman.