New update: After a successful long range forecast where I predicted that Toronto misses out on the bulk of the cold spell affecting the west, I am ready to change to the next status with seeing a warmup in the long range. That forecast I recorded on Nov 1 is starting to turn out a success. The roughly average to above average temps have taken hold and January is showing signs of relatively mild conditions overall.
Each January has the tendency to have some minus double digit highs, ranging from just 1 of such days in the warmest of years to several in cold ones. So far I dont even see any yet. So it looks like we are getting off really easy this year.