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Official Weather Thread: Historical warming and melting taking place in the Arctic

  • Last Updated:
  • Oct 3rd, 2019 2:06 pm
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Mar 12, 2006
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Ancaster, ON
Ilovejaneandfinch wrote:
Feb 17th, 2019 8:14 pm
Lake effect snow is difficult to predict and doesn't even snow up on forecast models. At least the system snow won't be too much. Only about 5 cm. Lake effect is hit or miss.
Its coming down pretty hard, from what I can see on the MTO cameras highway conditions are not good, can't even see lanes everything is solid white. Its really cold and windy too. Looks like tomorrow will be a stay at home inside day. Anyone planning to head this direction or Niagara tomorrow may want to rethink their plans

This weather is just defeating me
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More?? This is beyond ridiculous. This winter can just #&@*%*

ALERTS IN EFFECT
Special Weather Statement
Issued at 15:16 Monday 18 February 2019
Potential for freezing rain on Wednesday.

A low pressure system from Texas will track towards the Great Lakes on Wednesday. Precipitation associated with this system will begin as snow Wednesday morning for Southwestern Ontario, but will quickly change over to freezing rain and then to rain late in the day.

Untreated surfaces, such as roads, walkways and parking lots, could become icy, slippery and dangerous.
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Nov 20, 2011
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JACKIE26 wrote:
Feb 18th, 2019 6:00 pm
More?? This is beyond ridiculous. This winter can just #&@*%*

ALERTS IN EFFECT
Special Weather Statement
Issued at 15:16 Monday 18 February 2019
Potential for freezing rain on Wednesday.

A low pressure system from Texas will track towards the Great Lakes on Wednesday. Precipitation associated with this system will begin as snow Wednesday morning for Southwestern Ontario, but will quickly change over to freezing rain and then to rain late in the day.

Untreated surfaces, such as roads, walkways and parking lots, could become icy, slippery and dangerous.
I like how it says its coming from texas, as if we should blame them Face With Tears Of Joy
because ur mom said so
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Jun 1, 2006
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apnayloags wrote:
Feb 15th, 2019 5:10 pm
Any updates on spring?
You can ask our "Honourable" Premier.... on Feb.2 he was busy getting the Spring forecast from the groundhog

Image
I swear to drunk I'm not God 😝
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Mar 30, 2013
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Burlington
Simaahoy wrote:
Feb 17th, 2019 11:00 pm
How many more days, weeks or months until nice weather OP?
Like you, I'm hoping ILoveJaneAndFinch will come back and give us some good news! OP, what's the forecast for the coming weeks?
[OP]
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Nov 7, 2012
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abercombie and finch
edstone wrote:
Feb 19th, 2019 2:41 pm
Like you, I'm hoping ILoveJaneAndFinch will come back and give us some good news! OP, what's the forecast for the coming weeks?
It getting increasingly unlikely that my prediction regarding the worst of the winter cold will fail. When we were in that deep freeze and I said the worse was going to be over after that. Now it is starting to look overwhelmingly true. The cold we are seeing for the rest of winter looks substantially reduced. My long range forecast is quite mild. The cold aspect of winter is largely finished already.

Temperatures are the easy part. Not as sure about precip trends. But I am seeing signs that winter storm activity is already terminating too. I think the train of winter storms has finally halted (after this one finishes tonight).
blahhh
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Jan 26, 2019
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Ilovejaneandfinch wrote:
Feb 20th, 2019 6:44 pm
It getting increasingly unlikely that my prediction regarding the worst of the winter cold will fail. When we were in that deep freeze and I said the worse was going to be over after that. Now it is starting to look overwhelmingly true. The cold we are seeing for the rest of winter looks substantially reduced. My long range forecast is quite mild. The cold aspect of winter is largely finished already.

Temperatures are the easy part. Not as sure about precip trends. But I am seeing signs that winter storm activity is already terminating too. I think the train of winter storms has finally halted (after this one finishes tonight).
that's sobering
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Ilovejaneandfinch wrote:
Feb 20th, 2019 6:44 pm
But I am seeing signs that winter storm activity is already terminating too. I think the train of winter storms has finally halted (after this one finishes tonight).
That's what I was hoping to hear! Thanks, ILJAF!
[OP]
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abercombie and finch
edstone wrote:
Feb 20th, 2019 7:49 pm
That's what I was hoping to hear! Thanks, ILJAF!
Welcome.

Again, my winter forecast beat the competition.

People might remember I disputed their prediction for "brutal winter cold" coming later in the winter. Even with the failure of el nino, I was still right!
blahhh
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Mar 22, 2004
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RFD
Ilovejaneandfinch wrote:
Feb 20th, 2019 6:44 pm
It getting increasingly unlikely that my prediction regarding the worst of the winter cold will fail. When we were in that deep freeze and I said the worse was going to be over after that. Now it is starting to look overwhelmingly true. The cold we are seeing for the rest of winter looks substantially reduced. My long range forecast is quite mild. The cold aspect of winter is largely finished already.

Temperatures are the easy part. Not as sure about precip trends. But I am seeing signs that winter storm activity is already terminating too. I think the train of winter storms has finally halted (after this one finishes tonight).
When do you think it'll be warm enough to dismount the winter tires?
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Nov 13, 2010
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hope it stays mild and gets warmer.
+7 on sunday! ?
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apnayloags wrote:
Feb 21st, 2019 3:02 pm
hope it stays mild and gets warmer.
+7 on sunday! ?
And then off course back to negative daytime highs from Monday.
Who knows, there is still time for a stream of superheated air like the last one that blasted off Morocco destabilizing the polar vortex, to repeat, plunging us into double negative numbers again.
[OP]
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abercombie and finch
radeonboy wrote:
Feb 21st, 2019 1:51 pm
When do you think it'll be warm enough to dismount the winter tires?
There is now what I view as an 85% chance that if you even take them off now, your "all season's" will be fine in Toronto, despite the fact that they are only decent in typical conditions in 3 out of 4 seasons. But in this case, I see an 85% chance that you won't need winter tires.

But then again, I don't even know where you are located. If you are in or very near the city of Toronto, the above applies to you. If you are not, then you might need to wait a little longer.
blahhh
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Mississauga
Last year I made the mistake of swapping my tires in early April then we had a snow/ice storm a week or so later. It sucked.

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