Investing

The Short-Term Trading Thread

  • Last Updated:
  • Jan 16th, 2019 4:38 pm
Deal Addict
Jun 27, 2007
4145 posts
998 upvotes
weird day today. everything points down, yet SPX going up - doing nothing (and did not trade for some time)
sold CL AUG 59/73 strangle for 1.12 - pretty good premium for 1 std
covered HTZ 15/21 strangle for nice winner
It's easy to grin when your ship comes in and you've got the stock market beat.
But the man worthwhile is the man who can smile when his shorts are too tight in the seat 😃
Deal Addict
Mar 22, 2010
1952 posts
324 upvotes
Rate hike is in guys. 4 hikes in 2018.

Market reacting. Sold UVXY calls 11.5 exp. July 20.
Deal Addict
Jun 27, 2007
4145 posts
998 upvotes
SPX may have finally topped short term, unless 2800 taken out. Closed below yesterdays low, still expecting a bounce.
2768 would be my first target, followed by 2740.
I think 2700 is safe
It's easy to grin when your ship comes in and you've got the stock market beat.
But the man worthwhile is the man who can smile when his shorts are too tight in the seat 😃
[OP]
Deal Addict
Nov 6, 2015
1445 posts
1004 upvotes
Oakville
dlhunter wrote:
Jun 13th, 2018 8:47 pm
SPX may have finally topped short term, unless 2800 taken out. Closed below yesterdays low, still expecting a bounce.
2768 would be my first target, followed by 2740.
I think 2700 is safe
Agreed, I think we could see 2700 by EOM.
Personally not planning on shorting though, looking to BTFD at some point for a summer rally. I have a short-term cycle low on June 22.
Bears need to do more, we held daily 8EMA overnight. Still leaning towards rangebound trading into tomorrow's OPEX.
[OP]
Deal Addict
Nov 6, 2015
1445 posts
1004 upvotes
Oakville
Capture.PNG

Hawkish but EUR smoked :rolleyes:
Stop run imo, looking for a hard reversal
Deal Addict
Mar 22, 2010
1952 posts
324 upvotes
arvind84 wrote:
Jun 14th, 2018 8:25 am
-1x-1.jpg


I thought this was a spoof, but it's real Face With Tears Of Joy : https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... t-of-heart
I visit S. Korea at least once a year to see my family (was just there in April) and things really got lightened up. Words on street is that corporations are gearing up on bidding N.Korea contracts (I trade little bit of Korean exchange as well and certain companies did emerge up on surface for the past few months and mainly infrastructure, heavy industry ones) There's ton of infrastructure to be built and labor can be dirt cheap. Koreans never have been this optimistic ever since they got separated.

Personally, I don't think they are ready for it. Look what happened to Germany. Would be good trading/investing opportunity though when it happens :)
[OP]
Deal Addict
Nov 6, 2015
1445 posts
1004 upvotes
Oakville
rapashoo wrote:
Jun 14th, 2018 9:02 am
Would be good trading/investing opportunity though when it happens :)
Absolutely! Please keep us posted on any interesting developments that you come across. Multi-bagger potential...

ES at 2790 (76.4 retracement). Now or never bears...

Not liking this USD spike, closed GC and PL longs @ 1311 (+16) and 916(+2) respectively.

Edit: Closed Cocoa longs @ 2452 (+137)
Edit2: Getting kicked in the nuts by ZS here, will bail if there is no sign of reversal by EOD. Bad trade in hindsight, broke my rules and fell prey to FOMO.
Deal Addict
Aug 17, 2008
1744 posts
902 upvotes
Is it just me? I don't have the talking heads at CNBC on today, but it feels like a Friday.
Deal Addict
User avatar
Dec 8, 2010
2371 posts
825 upvotes
arvind84 wrote:
Jun 14th, 2018 7:23 am
Is the loonie the 'most hated currency' in markets right now?

"Our forecasts indicate that we are unlikely to make a sustained push below US$1.30 any time soon"

I'll take the other side of this trade, looking for 1.26
Such a stupid article. No, the Mexican Peso has done worse; the Argentinian currency is completely trashed, etc, etc.
Deal Addict
Jun 27, 2007
4145 posts
998 upvotes
oil big reversal - CAD tanking as expected.
Russia and SA meeting today to discuss OPEC deal ahead of the meeting next week.

USD big up move, and bonds follow.

SPX bounced as expected. Closed small long trade for +8 points. If ES drops below 2782, we might have some volatility
It's easy to grin when your ship comes in and you've got the stock market beat.
But the man worthwhile is the man who can smile when his shorts are too tight in the seat 😃

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