I hope we can begin an informative discussion on what investors are buying (and selling) during this incredibly volatile market along with some rationale.
Buy/hold for long term. Swing trading. Seasonal trading?
For starters, I'm eyeing Gold ETFs for the seasonality play on Gold. I'm also looking at ABX, G
Following the work of Don Vialoux
ยท Strength in the July to September period corresponds to strength in gold. Gold strengthens when gold fabricators are buying gold to make jewelry for the Christmas and Dhaliwal seasons.
http://www.equityclock.com/seasonality/
http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techta...nal-investing/
The volatility is scary so I've put in all my stop losses yesterday.
Also looking for dips in the market to buy more IPL.UN to DRIP
What are you buying today?
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Jul 13th, 2012 11:02 AM #1
What are you buying?
Last edited by morpheiz; Jul 13th, 2012 at 11:17 AM.
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Jul 14th, 2012 05:29 AM #2
I have seem one of my stocks goes down by 10% in just 2 hours, and then it closed up higher by 10%.
Stop loss will not be sufficient.
Another example would be if you set your stop loss at 10%, but the stock opens 15% lower. It skips over your stop loss orders.
As for gold, it's not luxury or jewelery, you buy gold for money.
Gold and Silver are like currencies; the supplies won't increase nearly as fast as the printing presses around the world.
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Jul 14th, 2012 11:18 PM #3
I'm currently holding Cdn stocks ITP, SW, SJ, PLB, BCB and PSI. Held them each between 1 and 3 months and will likely make some changes when earnings season starts getting busy in early August. I'm hoping for some earnings suprises but if they miss I'll be looking to make changes.
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Jul 15th, 2012 01:38 AM #4
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Jul 15th, 2012 10:43 AM #5
I bought a little Goldcorp G for $34.34. Will see what the coming days/weeks bring!
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Jul 15th, 2012 11:55 AM #6
I believe that the next Bull Market is just around the corner. Therefore, I am staying away from any Gold investments.
I am buying US financials, in particular USB which is trading @ 12X current earnings.
I also bought TPC - PE @ 7X, and MSFT - PE @ 10X.
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Jul 15th, 2012 08:06 PM #7
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Jul 15th, 2012 09:28 PM #8
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Jul 15th, 2012 09:53 PM #9
For those of you who have missed the boat on the current bull market, all you have to do is look at the 10 yr US bond.... the next bull market isn't around the corner, its in a different asset class.
There has been a bull market in US bonds for almost a year now...... and not to quote Jim Cramer, but there actually is a bull market somewhere at all times. You just need to open your eyes.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/pri...ttype%3dFutureLast edited by AntonyLingo; Jul 15th, 2012 at 10:05 PM. Reason: Added link to 10 year chart
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Jul 15th, 2012 09:56 PM #10
Interesting view. I think the gold miners at the current levels, especially Goldcorp, is very attractive for a long-term hold. Almost a no brainer if somebody doesn't have any gold/gold miner exposure in their portfolio, can tolerate a bit of risk and pain in the short-term (not much pain though in my opinion), and is well diversified in other industries.
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Jul 16th, 2012 05:19 AM #11
goldcorp's recent weakness is due to 1) mexico mine cant be (reasonably)fixed...lack of water is not something a private corp can do, cash cost is going yo rise as lower production to share the cost/oz
2) the redlake mine is fixable, but again, op margin is going to be weak._______________
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Jul 16th, 2012 05:25 AM #12
I only bought metal stocks pre 09 and switched to buying oil only now...
realized that fact that oil capex is way way lower than miners, plus way faster payback period and comparable IRR/NPV discount to miners.
it is easier to for a jr oil to grow big, it only takes a few wells to hit in a roll to become self-funded growth company(no dilution). where as a jr miners will take 10+years to grow, plus all the dilution....._______________
Think twice before buying a Nissan
3/18/13: cash1.25%,HOC1.5%,MMT97.25%
Me YTD+18.06% vs TSX YTD+2.80% = beat market by 15.26%
Always do your own due diligence! (4 lines signature limit sucks)
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Jul 16th, 2012 11:15 AM #13
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Jul 16th, 2012 11:30 AM #14
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Jul 16th, 2012 12:59 PM #15
Got out of some Open Range shrs today (thank goodness Peyto came along as the white knight), put the proceeds into Zargon (ZAR.TO).
Cant seem to figure out why oil is back to $87 but oil producers are still trading near 52wk lows (and nat gas no longer in the $1.xx range)_______________




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