Real Estate

Bought in Guelph in 2021 and Feeling Nervous

  • Last Updated:
  • Mar 17th, 2022 1:43 am
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[OP]
Banned
Mar 14, 2022
55 posts
87 upvotes

Bought in Guelph in 2021 and Feeling Nervous

We bought our primary home in Guelph in 2021. An end unit freehold townhouse for 750k - 3br, 4 bath. Recent comps in Jan / Feb had two of the same end units on our street going for around $1.15M.

Now I'm worried that prices this far from GTA will either drop or stagnate compared to rest of the market, although Guelph real estate has generally been higher than a lot of surrounding areas like Kitchener. I'm still seeing end unit freehold town homes going over $1M so the market is still strong for nowm

I'm seeing similar sized townhouse going for maybe $100k more in Mississauga or even less. Does it make sense for us to consider selling soon and moving closer to the GTA or ride it out? Our original plan was to hold for 5 years and then sell to move back closer to Toronto.

We are both long term WFH 90% so commute is not an issue for us, just future resale value.
12 replies
Deal Addict
Jan 13, 2014
2567 posts
1684 upvotes
Calgary
so current appreciation to 1.15 m? i still cant seem to find the concern here.
Deal Addict
May 22, 2019
1452 posts
2078 upvotes
Madal123 wrote: We bought our primary home in Guelph in 2021. An end unit freehold townhouse for 750k - 3br, 4 bath. Recent comps in Jan / Feb had two of the same end units on our street going for around $1.15M.

Now I'm worried that prices this far from GTA will either drop or stagnate compared to rest of the market, although Guelph real estate has generally been higher than a lot of surrounding areas like Kitchener. I'm still seeing end unit freehold town homes going over $1M so the market is still strong for nowm

I'm seeing similar sized townhouse going for maybe $100k more in Mississauga or even less. Does it make sense for us to consider selling soon and moving closer to the GTA or ride it out? Our original plan was to hold for 5 years and then sell to move back closer to Toronto.

We are both long term WFH 90% so commute is not an issue for us, just future resale value.
As long as Canada is taking immigrants, real estate will NOT drop!

Countries outside canada much richer and wealthier than Canada, real estate in Canada are dirty cheap! Stop listening to those domestic radio stations!
World cup is coming
[OP]
Banned
Mar 14, 2022
55 posts
87 upvotes
masarwar wrote: so current appreciation to 1.15 m? i still cant seem to find the concern here.
Only concern is the push back to the office might have a large impact on the Guelph market. It's a 1.5 hour GO train to downtown. My spouse and I have always been WFH so it's not an issue for us but I can see it deterring some buyers in the future post-covid.

I may be overreacting but just wondering if we should get out while we are ahead still.
Deal Addict
May 22, 2019
1452 posts
2078 upvotes
Madal123 wrote: Only concern is the push back to the office might have a large impact on the Guelph market. It's a 1.5 hour GO train to downtown. My spouse and I have always been WFH so it's not an issue for us but I can see it deterring some buyers in the future post-covid.

I may be overreacting but just wondering if we should get out while we are ahead still.
Most immigrants are super rich, they don't need to work, I don't think distance to work will affect immigrants community's buying power.

You cannot rely on local guys in real estate! Make some friends that arrived in Canada recently, and I am sure you will feel safe about your investment.
World cup is coming
Deal Addict
Jan 13, 2014
2567 posts
1684 upvotes
Calgary
Madal123 wrote: Only concern is the push back to the office might have a large impact on the Guelph market. It's a 1.5 hour GO train to downtown. My spouse and I have always been WFH so it's not an issue for us but I can see it deterring some buyers in the future post-covid.

I may be overreacting but just wondering if we should get out while we are ahead still.
unfortunately we cannot predict the future as my crystall ball is still on back order. You need to do whats right for you and puts you at ease. if getting out now and moving to suaga makes sense, then definitely do that, but you need to consider alot of factors before moving.
Member
Apr 20, 2016
296 posts
269 upvotes
You bought last year and are sitting on a $350k or so gain on paper. So you're thinking you should cash out and then what, buy somewhere closer to the city because you think that it will appreciate more than Guelph and you'll time the market? Sure....I mean, transaction costs don't matter and moving is easy (plus your realtor will be happy). You should study the TRREB housing report by region and use that to make your predictions for the future. Please let us know the cities you identify as appreciating more than Guelph so we can all cash out and choose those cities to move to.
Deal Addict
Feb 7, 2018
1130 posts
1928 upvotes
I would sell and move to mississauga. If that was your 5 year plan just be lucky you made 400k in a year and accelerated your move by 4 years.
Member
Apr 20, 2016
296 posts
269 upvotes
wiab89 wrote: I would sell and move to mississauga. If that was your 5 year plan just be lucky you made 400k in a year and accelerated your move by 4 years.
Totally agree with this....if that was your intent then yeah you might as well just do it now.
Deal Addict
User avatar
Nov 20, 2012
1830 posts
906 upvotes
Narkham
How bad is your FOMO? Will you be angry/sad if in 1 year's time you can get another $100k? $150k? At the same time sauga will likely grow at the same rate if not faster. If the end goal was always sauga I'd say to do it rather than later, I don't see Guelph RE prices continuing to grow at rates the rest of the GTA. Take the ~$250k profit and bounce.
RFD: Rarely Finding Discounts on things I actually need
Sr. Member
Oct 22, 2016
937 posts
856 upvotes
Comox Valley
If you feel you are right in your numbers do it. But talk to an accountant, and make sure you hold it long enough, so it is treated as a principal residence, instead of a flip. Congratulations on what you have accomplished.
Deal Addict
Jan 1, 2017
1819 posts
1862 upvotes
OP I don’t understand you at all… you say you are both WFH and moved Guelph. But you want to move back to Toronto if appreciation in Toronto will be higher? Huh? Why?
Member
Feb 10, 2021
383 posts
319 upvotes
GTA
After closing costs (LTT, Real Estate fees) if the #'s make sense...then yes, move up your plan by 4 years and make the move.
Having said that, I would highly caution on the side of purchasing your next property first.. ive seen the opposite go south for too many people in the last two years.

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