Real Estate

Sell vs rent condo to upgrade to new townhouse / Tax-free capital gain vs cashflow (What would RFD do?)

  • Last Updated:
  • Apr 1st, 2021 2:57 pm
[OP]
Newbie
Mar 30, 2021
7 posts
5 upvotes

Sell vs rent condo to upgrade to new townhouse / Tax-free capital gain vs cashflow (What would RFD do?)

Greetings everyone!

Not sure if this belongs in the Real Estate or Personal Finance / Investing forum so bear with me. It has been so long since I posted on RFD that I no longer remember my old login name, but I have been browsing RFD for 15+ years.

1) Let's get straight to the point

I talked to both mortgage specialists and tax accountants, learning that either way there's no "bad decision". So the purpose of this thread is to gather a very broad opinion, especially those who have experience or went through the same process.

2) Quick snapshot of where we are

  • DINKs, both aged 40 living in Montreal, QC
  • Household income of $150,000/year (employment considered stable, but that doesn't mean anything these days)
  • Net worth of $800,000 - Investments of $500,000 and Condo of $300,000 (paid off, no mortgage)
  • Car loan and other minor LOC as debt obligations, amount is small relative to our net worth and our income sustains it
  • Location of current condo is considered very good, shopping mall and public transport within one block. Vacancy rate in our building is virtually 0% at all times, people either buy or rent whatever is available
  • Looking to upgrade living space, townhouse at $650,000. Delivery expected late 2021 or early 2022
  • Plan to refinance condo to put 20% downpayment for townhouse ($130,000). We can also refinance up to 80% of our condo's market value ($240,000)

3) Plan A: Sell current condo

  • Take advantage of current seller's market condition, unlocking the full $300,000 in tax-free capital gains
  • Pay back amounts for refinancing (downpayment), closing fees and small LOC debts
  • Still have well over $150,000+ to invest afterwards
  • Focus on our new home, no headaches dealing with tenants

4) Plan B: Rent current condo

  • Projected rental income: $1200-$1300 per month
  • Cash flow positive (barely) after subtracting operating expenses (paying back $130,000 refinancing, condo fees, property taxes, insurance)
  • Managing tenants, QC laws heavily favor tenants and not landlords

I am aware that the Real Estate forum may lean on Plan B, that's ok as I come here with an open mind. When I hear so many tenants not paying rent since Covid and landlords move heaven and earth just to evict them, I wonder why bother with Plan B. It also assumes best case scenario where I am able to find a quality tenant who pays on time each month. Otherwise I end up cash flow negative or suffer any loss should the tenant damage my property.

Looking forward to everyone's thoughts!

(Edit: fix typo)
Last edited by IForgotMyRFDName on Mar 31st, 2021 10:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
15 replies
Deal Addict
Jan 2, 2021
1471 posts
2396 upvotes
I think most people who sell end up regretting it, myself included. Many wise people advise to “buy and hold forever” unless you’re really not interested in dealing with rentals... you’ll still get to have the cap gain until 2021/22 tax free so there’s really no reason to sell right now? Condo rentals are also fairly easy to manage and low risk.

By the way if you go with Plan B, I’d advise refinancing the full 80% and put that into your primary residence as the interests can be tax deductible against the rental income.

What I’m more interested in is, how did you guys accumulate 800k in assets at 150k household income? That’s quite a feat!
[OP]
Newbie
Mar 30, 2021
7 posts
5 upvotes
TwinkoStar,

Appreciate your input, it's something that I am reconsidering but watching how dead beat tenants take advantage of eviction moratorium gives me pause. If not something I want to deal with and this can make or break small landlords. It's certainly a risk issue as opposed to money optimization (ex: invest cash in REITs).

As to how we got here:

  • Not having kids certainly makes a huge difference in monthly expenses compared to our friends who have (simply a lifestyle choice, please don't make such decisions based on finances)
  • Consistently live below our means since we started working. We plan on splurging for our new home but will maintain financial discipline going forward
  • Good old saving and investing, we put enough aside to max out our TFSA / RRSP and beyond. Compound interest is a proven wealth creator. No trust fund or generational money involved, I envy those who had parental assistance for their first home
  • Speaking of first home, we started really small hence the desire to upgrade. In hindsight, we could have purchased 2x or 3x more house and ride the real estate boom in the past ten years, and end up with similar net worth (although much less for investments)
  • Which leads to one can buy and sell real estate, no one is tied to their forever home (whatever they sell on HGTV) I read enough threads and everyone wants to jump on SFHs as soon as they graduate... we couldn't do it 15 years ago and we certainly can't in today's market so we are "settling" with a townhouse. Baby steps and accumulate wealth at your own pace.
Deal Addict
Jun 14, 2018
1307 posts
1600 upvotes
What does your retirement look like if you just decided to sell the condo and put any leftover money to investments? Do you feel like you need to have an investment property and have to deal with being a landlord in order to reach your retirement goals?
Deal Guru
Feb 22, 2011
14034 posts
17911 upvotes
Toronto
How much are maint fees and taxes that you are barely breaking even? Also the $130k is for your new home it doesn't really make sense to count it against the rental, especially given the interest won't even be deductible.
[OP]
Newbie
Mar 30, 2021
7 posts
5 upvotes
Howdy MarinersFanatik!

Whether we have rental property or not is inconsequential to our retirement goals. Fast forward 20 years, we would have certainly accumulated a net worth of 7 digits. This provides enough passive income to live comfortably (once we include standard pension + OAS). At that age we see ourselves downsizing back to a small appartment or condo, with even less monthly expenses.

My circle of friends would say keep the condo and rent it out. I see the allure in creating a new source of passive income and I favor real estate as much as stocks. But I trust strangers' opinions on RFD more than my own friends, ha!
[OP]
Newbie
Mar 30, 2021
7 posts
5 upvotes
sircheersa,

$130,000 at 2% for 25 years is $550 /month.
Condo fees about $300 / month.
Property and school taxes are $150 / month.
Home insurance is $30 / month (might change if rental).

We are already looking at $1,030 to break even. Renting it out at $1,200 brings me $170 cash flow... Not sure if the extra work and risk are worth it?
Newbie
Apr 9, 2020
92 posts
79 upvotes
TwinkoStar wrote: I think most people who sell end up regretting it, myself included. Many wise people advise to “buy and hold forever” unless you’re really not interested in dealing with rentals... you’ll still get to have the cap gain until 2021/22 tax free so there’s really no reason to sell right now? Condo rentals are also fairly easy to manage and low risk.

By the way if you go with Plan B, I’d advise refinancing the full 80% and put that into your primary residence as the interests can be tax deductible against the rental income.

What I’m more interested in is, how did you guys accumulate 800k in assets at 150k household income? That’s quite a feat!
Are you sure about the refinancing is tax detectible? The refinanced money goes to the primary residence which is not a investment, so the tax will not be deductible. If the refinanced money goes to a investment account, then the tax can be deductible
Deal Addict
Jun 14, 2018
1307 posts
1600 upvotes
IForgotMyRFDName wrote: Howdy MarinersFanatik!

Whether we have rental property or not is inconsequential to our retirement goals. Fast forward 20 years, we would have certainly accumulated a net worth of 7 digits. This provides enough passive income to live comfortably (once we include standard pension + OAS). At that age we see ourselves downsizing back to a small appartment or condo, with even less monthly expenses.

My circle of friends would say keep the condo and rent it out. I see the allure in creating a new source of passive income and I favor real estate as much as stocks. But I trust strangers' opinions on RFD more than my own friends, ha!
If you feel like having a rental property is inconsequential to your retirement goals, then I don't see any reason why you need to do it. It takes work being a landlord and sometimes it can be stressful dealing with tenants. Why deal with it if you don't have to?
Deal Addict
Nov 13, 2013
4382 posts
2971 upvotes
Ottawa
ZhaoW9051 wrote: Are you sure about the refinancing is tax detectible? The refinanced money goes to the primary residence which is not a investment, so the tax will not be deductible. If the refinanced money goes to a investment account, then the tax can be deductible
Yes it’s not deductible which is the biggest reason to just sell. Yeah if you did they 3 years ago you’d have regretted it but who knows what the next 3 let alone 30 years will bring.

Sell and shift the excess funds into something that diversify your holdings. With no kids I bet you want to retire somewhere south. Your main risk to a very comfortable retirement is a catastrophic drop in the $C. Buy foreign stocks or if you know where you will want to live a condo in Florida or whatever now.

Put another way Montreal booms from here you might miss out on gains but you will still be set up well for retirement. Something goes wrong in Montreal or Canada you could be in trouble if you own two properties. Under my plan you have a good retirement either way.
[OP]
Newbie
Mar 30, 2021
7 posts
5 upvotes
MarinersFanatik wrote: If you feel like having a rental property is inconsequential to your retirement goals, then I don't see any reason why you need to do it. It takes work being a landlord and sometimes it can be stressful dealing with tenants. Why deal with it if you don't have to?
Thank you MarinersFanatik, it's a dilemma that I'm facing now because I happen to be at that inflection point. Rental property, just like anything else, has its pros and cons. The key question is if I have to endure extra work and stress dealing with tenants, is the ROI worth it?

Per my napkin math to sircheersa above, let's add a few more assumptions:

  • Interest rate fixed at 2% for 25 years
  • I'm able to increase rent each year to cover any increase in operating expenses (increase in condo fees, taxes, insurance and inflation)
  • Able to maintain margins, cash flow positive at $200+ per month (or $2,400 per year)
  • AAA+ quality tenant who accepts this annual increase and pays on time each month for 25 years straight
  • Property is kept pristine, no major renovation required even after 25 years later

In this ideal scenario, basically I'm being asked to carry $130,000 debt yielding 1.84% ($2,400 / $130,000) which is rather disheartening. Of course we agree that the property will appreciate significantly 25 years later, but I won't see that gain until I sell. Meanwhile, a huge portion of that gain is being offset by any money I need to put in within that time frame (no major renovation in 25 years is just unrealistic).

My takeaway in this thought process is that for the average person, having 1 or 2 rental properties won't materially affect one's net worth. By all means, if someone enjoys being a small landlord to collect a few hundred bucks of passive income, that's great! To make real money, one must commit into the rental game all the way and take advantage of one of the biggest pros of real estate: leverage. I must build enough home equity (through debt repayments + price appreciation), to refinance in a few years for a 3rd property (2nd rental). Rinse and repeat. Once you reach the level of 5 to 10 rental properties, now we are talking serious money (for the average person). At this point I have already become a part-time, if not full-time, property manager?

Either my math is totally wrong or I'm not seeing the full picture. This is why I am eager to hear from those who went through this.
Deal Addict
Jun 14, 2018
1307 posts
1600 upvotes
IForgotMyRFDName wrote: Thank you MarinersFanatik, it's a dilemma that I'm facing now because I happen to be at that inflection point. Rental property, just like anything else, has its pros and cons. The key question is if I have to endure extra work and stress dealing with tenants, is the ROI worth it?
I'll let someone else answer to your math, but you should map out what your networth would be if you sold your condo and what it would be if you kept it, then assess if the difference is worth your time to hold onto and manage your condo.

If your condo is currently worth $300k, I suspect the marginal improvement to your networth by holding onto your condo isn't going to be that great, at least not worth it (for me) to become a landlord.
Sr. Member
User avatar
Jul 30, 2013
987 posts
871 upvotes
GTA
IForgotMyRFDName wrote: Thank you MarinersFanatik, it's a dilemma that I'm facing now because I happen to be at that inflection point. Rental property, just like anything else, has its pros and cons. The key question is if I have to endure extra work and stress dealing with tenants, is the ROI worth it?

Per my napkin math to sircheersa above, let's add a few more assumptions:

  • Interest rate fixed at 2% for 25 years
  • I'm able to increase rent each year to cover any increase in operating expenses (increase in condo fees, taxes, insurance and inflation)
  • Able to maintain margins, cash flow positive at $200+ per month (or $2,400 per year)
  • AAA+ quality tenant who accepts this annual increase and pays on time each month for 25 years straight
  • Property is kept pristine, no major renovation required even after 25 years later

In this ideal scenario, basically I'm being asked to carry $130,000 debt yielding 1.84% ($2,400 / $130,000) which is rather disheartening. Of course we agree that the property will appreciate significantly 25 years later, but I won't see that gain until I sell. Meanwhile, a huge portion of that gain is being offset by any money I need to put in within that time frame (no major renovation in 25 years is just unrealistic).

My takeaway in this thought process is that for the average person, having 1 or 2 rental properties won't materially affect one's net worth. By all means, if someone enjoys being a small landlord to collect a few hundred bucks of passive income, that's great! To make real money, one must commit into the rental game all the way and take advantage of one of the biggest pros of real estate: leverage. I must build enough home equity (through debt repayments + price appreciation), to refinance in a few years for a 3rd property (2nd rental). Rinse and repeat. Once you reach the level of 5 to 10 rental properties, now we are talking serious money (for the average person). At this point I have already become a part-time, if not full-time, property manager?

Either my math is totally wrong or I'm not seeing the full picture. This is why I am eager to hear from those who went through this.
You might consider that being cash flow positive is a "best case scenario". Even if you break even (net zero cash flow), your tenant is helping you make mortgage principal payments which would be your "income" (it's just building your home equity rather than put into your investment portfolio). You likely won't be materially impacting your net worth from rental income from 1 or 2 rental properties, the real money would be from the potential price appreciation on the properties. The spread between the price appreciation and the mortgage interest rate multiplied by your leverage factor (let's say 4) is really what you're going after.
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[OP]
Newbie
Mar 30, 2021
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techkid wrote: You might consider that being cash flow positive is a "best case scenario". Even if you break even (net zero cash flow), your tenant is helping you make mortgage principal payments which would be your "income" (it's just building your home equity rather than put into your investment portfolio). You likely won't be materially impacting your net worth from rental income from 1 or 2 rental properties, the real money would be from the potential price appreciation on the properties. The spread between the price appreciation and the mortgage interest rate multiplied by your leverage factor (let's say 4) is really what you're going after.

I knew we have smart people in this sub-forum.

Let's agree that whatever cash flow my rental properties would bring is negligible, and that the end game of real estate is the day we sell as the long term price appreciation is magnified due to leverage. In this case, wouldn't it make more sense for the average person to buy as much primary residence as possible, as opposed to splitting one's resources with multiple rentals? Consider the following examples:

Strategy #1: Buy single detached at $1.2 M and hold for 25 years

  • You get to enjoy the largest living space
  • Considered as strongest real estate subcategory (residential) with highest potential for price appreciation
  • Tax-free capital gain when sold as primary residence

Strategy #2: Buy $600,000 townhouse + 2x $300,000 condos as rentals, hold for 25 years

  • Cash flow positive in an ideal scenario, most likely break even
  • Tax-free capital gain when selling townhouse as primary residence, but this doesn't apply for other two condos
  • Definitely some sweat equity required when dealing with tenants

For the sake of simplifying our discussion:

  • All these properties are across each other on the same street somewhere in GTA
  • Same debt obligation, 20% downpayment and 2% interest for 25 years for all properties
  • All properties built the same year, same level of quality

The logical conclusion is that the single detached will see the highest price appreciation and all of the capital gain will be tax-free when sold as primary residence. I understand that some see it as a lifestyle choice (ex: prefer living in condos rather than dealing with house work). I also acknowledge the ability to purchase rental properties in different markets or neighborhoods (diversification). But pound for pound, dollar for dollar, what are the odds that Strategy #2 will come out on top?
Sr. Member
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Jul 30, 2013
987 posts
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IForgotMyRFDName wrote: I knew we have smart people in this sub-forum.

Let's agree that whatever cash flow my rental properties would bring is negligible, and that the end game of real estate is the day we sell as the long term price appreciation is magnified due to leverage. In this case, wouldn't it make more sense for the average person to buy as much primary residence as possible, as opposed to splitting one's resources with multiple rentals? Consider the following examples:

Strategy #1: Buy single detached at $1.2 M and hold for 25 years

  • You get to enjoy the largest living space
  • Considered as strongest real estate subcategory (residential) with highest potential for price appreciation
  • Tax-free capital gain when sold as primary residence

Strategy #2: Buy $600,000 townhouse + 2x $300,000 condos as rentals, hold for 25 years

  • Cash flow positive in an ideal scenario, most likely break even
  • Tax-free capital gain when selling townhouse as primary residence, but this doesn't apply for other two condos
  • Definitely some sweat equity required when dealing with tenants

For the sake of simplifying our discussion:

  • All these properties are across each other on the same street somewhere in GTA
  • Same debt obligation, 20% downpayment and 2% interest for 25 years for all properties
  • All properties built the same year, same level of quality

The logical conclusion is that the single detached will see the highest price appreciation and all of the capital gain will be tax-free when sold as primary residence. I understand that some see it as a lifestyle choice (ex: prefer living in condos rather than dealing with house work). I also acknowledge the ability to purchase rental properties in different markets or neighborhoods (diversification). But pound for pound, dollar for dollar, what are the odds that Strategy #2 will come out on top?
This is where it becomes a guessing game in predicting the future.

On one side, single detached homes have shown the greatest returns over the past couple decades. The question becomes whether this will continue in the future.
My belief is that there's probably greater and greater "walls" of affordability, and 800K - 1.2M is the "sweet spot", or even lower. The higher the home price, the fewer the buyers and likely, lower growth as a % of the home price.
However, if the people continue to "move up" the housing chain and growth continues (whether it's from immigration, income growth, etc.), then perhaps it will still hold true that the single detached will provide the highest price appreciation over 25 years.

Another option to consider would be buying two townhomes at $600K, it would be the "in-between" solution for you, if you can manage to get the loans from the bank.
If you take a look at the long-term planning of cities, some like Richmond Hill expect 2/3 of future housing to be "affordable" options of condos, condo towns, townhomes.
How we think of detached homes now may be considered how we think of townhomes/semis in the future, as the "end goal".
Another thing to consider is by purchasing multiple residences, there's marginally more tax-filing but you can also diversify your risk by purchasing in different locations, and more flexibility in that you can buy/sell every 5-7 years if you'd like.
It's a lot easier to buy/sell with rentals than with your principal residence.

Take all this with a grain of salt, I'm more than a decade younger than you haha Astonished Face
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Deal Addict
Mar 30, 2017
1214 posts
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GVA
until the government change rental laws to be less biased toward tenants, stay away from being landlord!

There is no point to buy rental if you are just barely cashflow positive, I wont call $200/month cashflow positive. any strata levy will eat up that tiny margin for years. The number 1 decision factor of buying rental investment is cashflow.

and you cannot assume you will have AAA tenant. It is not reality.

If you just want to make money from RE appreciation, I don't see why you are not putting extra equity in your new home instead. Get a bigger home, or even detached freehold instead of putting money in rental investments. You will have a) bigger home, b) total control on maintenance, c) lower insurance, d) no strata surprise, stupid bylaws, e) even airbnb if you want extra cash, etc

Unless you somehow see condo will appreciate at a greater rate than townhouse/detach, money you put in condo is the same as money you put in your larger principle residence. Both will appreciate. plus it is still tax free for now and less headache from tenancy matters.
profit on 6/23/2021 = 117.61% since 11/10/2020 to be exact😎

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