Trend Trading & how to identify investable trends?

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Jul 3rd, 2015 2:44 pm

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Jul 3rd, 2015 10:30 am

alanbrenton [OP]: Deal Expert; Apr 21, 2004; 56484 posts; 21536 upvotes

Jul 3rd, 2015 10:30 am

Trend Trading & how to identify investable trends?

Trend Trading for Dummies:
http://www.dummies.com/how-to/personal- ... ading.html

Trends in Markets:
https://www.boundless.com/finance/textb ... -175-3840/

What kind of trends can we follow and make profits from short (days) to medium term (months)? Any interesting read/resources to learn more about what trends we can follow like

specific commodities
economies on the brink of bankruptcy (Greece / Puerto Rico)
interest rates
junk bonds (and when it will implode)
volatility
real estate

and if it's best to use ETF's to ride on these trends? I'd like to be devoid of specific companies as it's much harder to guess which one will do better or worst.

5 replies

Jul 3rd, 2015 10:44 am

masterhapposai: Deal Fanatic; Jul 19, 2003; 8133 posts; 758 upvotes

Jul 3rd, 2015 10:44 am

This year you would've been rich if you kept buying S&P500 dips then selling at the perceived top.

That's a trend, that we're stuck in a flat market.

hi!

+1

Jul 3rd, 2015 11:41 am

catoun: Sr. Member; Feb 1, 2015; 630 posts; 138 upvotes; MB

Jul 3rd, 2015 11:41 am

masterhapposai wrote: ↑This year you would've been rich if you kept buying S&P500 dips then selling at the perceived top.

That's a trend, that we're stuck in a flat market.

That works when a short correction happens following by a strong rally. In a bear market, you would get stuck with your positions.

+1

Jul 3rd, 2015 12:00 pm

masterhapposai: Deal Fanatic; Jul 19, 2003; 8133 posts; 758 upvotes

Jul 3rd, 2015 12:00 pm

catoun wrote: ↑That works when a short correction happens following by a strong rally. In a bear market, you would get stuck with your positions.

Yeah, absolutely. You will get trapped eventually and then you can just be a "couch potato".

hi!

Jul 3rd, 2015 12:55 pm

Slashon: Sr. Member; Nov 30, 2010; 619 posts; 483 upvotes; Burnaby

Jul 3rd, 2015 12:55 pm

Gold in August? Energy in Feb-May?
These are seasonality trends and of course don't always work.

+1

Jul 3rd, 2015 2:44 pm

catoun: Sr. Member; Feb 1, 2015; 630 posts; 138 upvotes; MB

Jul 3rd, 2015 2:44 pm

Slashon wrote: ↑Gold in August? Energy in Feb-May?
These are seasonality trends and of course don't always work.

Timber: June to December

+1

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